Your deck has Susanna, Joe of A, Salami, Reach, Words, Spirit as a Dove, King Sargon, and 2k horses. I call that more than a little drawing(/searching, which basically draws a card (most of the time)). That increases your chance of drawing it before they draw SoG by a lot.
As to getting initiative, the fact that you are able to present a character after they already have is very beneficial, and you have a 1/1, a 2/3, a 4/5, and a 6/6, which are a few good numbers for getting initiative, so I would change that statistic.
Also, if you play Forgotten History, or DoU, or you're blocking with Esau and you play a capture, you don't have to worry about being negated.
I just have to say that about 75% of the time I use Confusion, I get their SoG. And 75% of the rest of the time, I get their NJ. And even if I don't get one of those, I can snipe any other card I want.
Bottom line, Confusion is always worth it.
