Author Topic: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics  (Read 69039 times)

Offline STAMP

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #175 on: November 20, 2009, 01:35:30 PM »
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Just like this year's 49ers...  ::)

The jury's still out...but we know for sure they won't win the division.   :-\

I'm not worried.  The Traveling Favre Show should be playing in the Bay area next season, and it won't be for the Raiders.   :laugh:
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Offline lightningninja

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #176 on: November 20, 2009, 05:53:09 PM »
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I hope Brett Favre doesn't play for a fifth team... that'd be too spread out. :-\
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Offline Red Dragon Thorn

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #177 on: November 20, 2009, 06:04:27 PM »
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I hope Brett plays another 29 seasons - Setting the record for the first QB to play for all 32 teams. Maybe he can cut that in half by playing for two each year... trade him halfway through..
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Offline crustpope

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #178 on: November 22, 2009, 09:40:12 PM »
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There are still 2 undefeated teams left.

Colts
Saints

My rankings
1. Saints -Way to beat Tampa Bay...now can you do it against New England?
2. Colts -Offense was ugly (3 turnovers) but the defense was sexy!
3. Vikings -These Guys are looking good.  Before long I may have to move them above my Colts even if the Colts Don't lose
4. New England - God win to climb back into it.  Way to put fourth and 2 behind you.
5. San Diego - Denver who?  A statement win by a surging AFC West Team!
6. Arizona - 3 wins in a row but losses to Carolina and San Francisco hurt them.  Can they give the Vikings some competition in week 13?
7. Cincinnati -If you are going to lose, you picked a good week to do so with everyone in your division following suit, but really?  The Raiders?
8. Dallas - a W is a W but that was a real ugly win.  No bonus points for Dallas.  I still think they are posers in a weak division.
9. Pittsburg -Two in a row hurts, and losing big Ben to a concussion does not bode well for their wild card chances...
10. Green Bay - They won two in a row, but I dont think anyone is convinced that they really top 10 worthy, they just happen to be less worse than everyone else


Out of the top 10:

probably down to at least 15. Denver - If 3 in a row was VERY bad news....  what do you think 4 in a row means
-. Tennesee - Pending Monday nights game, I may demote Green Bay


Some Random Comments about this week:

Cincinnati seems to play to the calibre of their opponent.  What they need to do is just schedule undefeated teams to play.  But my real problem with that game was not their abysmal offense but the fact that with 30 seconds to go the Kick returner decided to RUN IT OUT OF THE END ZONE AT ALL!  Seriously, I think that kick returners should play smarter ball.  Too many of them run it out of the end zone only to get tackled at the 15 yard line when they could have had it at the 20 (and more time on the clock) or in this case ACTUALLY RETAINED POSESSION OF THE BALL.  Take a knee and win it in overtime.  Stop trying to be a hero and be a team player.

Colts defense looked mighty fine.  And that run game looked pretty good as well now that both Addai and Brown are back in the game...

I think the Steelers are hurt more by Ben's concussion than the Cardinals are by Warner.  Leinart ought to be able to run that offense pretty well, but this may spell the end of Warners career unless he can bounce back quickly.

The NFC East... Oh how you surprise me.  I picked the Giants to win the Division and probably the NFC Championship and now we have three teams tripping over themselves trying desperately not to suck worse than Washington.  These teams are the model of INconisistency.

Miami is quietly taking care of buisness and is poised to take a shot at an AFC Wildcard spot.

What is going on in Denver?  This is more surprising than Denvers 6-0 start.

Was T.O really making Touchdown Celebrations today?  What does he really have to celebrate?

Picking the Wild Card in the NFC looks like it will be hard this year.  Green Bay is surging but can they hold up?  Atlanta is falling but will it continue?

« Last Edit: November 22, 2009, 10:16:00 PM by crustpope »
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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #179 on: November 22, 2009, 10:08:16 PM »
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By saying there's a choice between giving your opponent 70 or 30 yards to score a TD is focusing on the 20% chance of losing.  That sends the message that you're playing not to lose at that point in time (where your chances are higher) versus waiting later to see what your chances are of not losing.

That's just wordsmithing the decision-making process.  One could just as easily argue that playing to keep the ball and run out the clock is "playing not to lose".  Additionally, I reject outright any suggestion that putting one's defense on the field is not also "playing to win".  I don't know of a defense in the country who would tell you that their job is "not to lose the game"; they will state just as emphatically that they are out there to win.  This whole notion of "playing not to lose" is so overwrought that I think it only really applies about 10% of the time it's utilized.

So, your argument is that all these powerful mascots are really scarry, and dangerous..underneath the cuddly costume?

Essentially, yes.  I will very happily stand by the notion that a panther or a buccaneer or even a redskin is intended to intimidate.  Conversely, I would have no confidence at all in supposing that the selection of the mascot is designed to promote e.g. football as a cuddly sport, or any NFL organization as a cuddly team.

Offline lightningninja

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #180 on: November 22, 2009, 11:10:38 PM »
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One last thing to consider, the play WORKED, but Faulk dropped the pass.

But how about them bengals!?!? Seriously how pathetic? What a dumb kick return... he should be fired NOW.
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Offline YourMathTeacher

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #181 on: November 22, 2009, 11:16:39 PM »
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One last thing to consider, the play WORKED, ...

Wait, you mean we won? Someone alert the NFL so that the correct rankings are recorded.  ;)

The play only "worked" if it did what it was supposed to - get the first down. It did not.
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Offline lightningninja

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #182 on: November 22, 2009, 11:18:36 PM »
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Okay okay okay... what I meant was, the play up until the catch worked perfectly. The RB was open and passed the first down line. Saying that it was a horrible decision because Faulk dropped it I don't think is a valid point. Otherwise Favre shouldn't have thrown to Taylor against the Steelers. No one was mad against that call. Both plays played out well but failed because of a mistake on the RB's part.
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Offline YourMathTeacher

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #183 on: November 22, 2009, 11:50:45 PM »
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A failed first down attempt is a failed first dwon attempt, no matter what circumstances caused it. Things happen, RBs bobble, patches of grass slide, wind blows in weird circles, QBs trip over their linemen's feet, a defender gets left unblocked, a contact lens falls out, the blocker gets gas pains, sudden rain squalls occur only over the stadium, a low-flying bird gets hit by the pass, a man on a snowblower clears the field for the home-team kicker, a tipped pass bounces off the guys foot and back into his arms, a renegade band player comes onto the field, the referee forgets to duck, a player gets hit in the eye with a penalty flag loaded with BBs, a fumble by a QB is really a "tuck," the opposing coach was secretly videotaping your practices, the Statue of Liberty actually works to win a Bowl game, the FG goes wide right, there were angels in the outfield, .....

Part of making the right call is to know that you cannot control every factor involved in a given play at a given time in a given game on any given Sunday. That's why you don't call a QB sneak when you have more than a yard to go. That's why you punt on 4th and 2 from your own 28 when you're winning by 6 with two minutes left and your opponent only has one timeout.
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Offline crustpope

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #184 on: November 23, 2009, 11:13:26 AM »
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Part of making the right call is to know that you cannot control every factor involved in a given play at a given time in a given game on any given Sunday. That's why you don't call a QB sneak when you have more than a yard to go. That's why you punt on 4th and 2 from your own 28 when you're winning by 6 with two minutes left and your opponent only has one timeout.

I agree.  I also agree that coaches should go for it more on fourth and short, but not at the end of the game on a short field.  My ideal fourth and short situation is somewhere between the 50 and the 35 yard line in my opponents territory.  That is where the fourth and short situation has the most to gain and the least to lose.  In those situations, by going for it and losing you lose only the 20-30 yard field position advantage that you would have gained via punting and by going for it and gaining you play psychological warfare on the opponents defense that anything on the other side of the 50 is 4 down football.  That really takes the air out of their sails when they make a stop on 3rd and short only to be told that they arent done yet, they have to do it again.

But fourth and short deep in your territory is a tremendous risk.  In this case the reward would have been great too, but I still would have punted.


And yes.  If I were a special teams coach I would have my return men take a knee more often in the end zone.  I would tell them that if they take a football out of the end zone then they better make it past the 20.  If they dont, then they owe me a thousand dollars for every yard they cost the team. If you see a hole, then take it, but to run out of the end zone hoping to recreate the magic you had against the steelers the week before where you were the only touchdown scored by your team in that game, is a selfish play.  Take the knee, and give Palmer the extra seconds you would waste running down (likely only making it to the 20 at best given the number of defenders that were there) and let your offense make plays.  At worst you go to overtime and win it in overtime.  THe bengals have been in overtime before and held their own on defense (just ask Donovan McNabb).  That play will make the boneheaded play of the week.  Oh, he made the highlight reel for sportscenter all right, just not the one he wanted too.
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Offline STAMP

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #185 on: November 23, 2009, 11:25:34 AM »
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"Just keep drinking that KoolAid.  Then I'll have you right where I want."

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Offline Professoralstad

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #186 on: November 23, 2009, 11:57:24 AM »
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Poll: Which Ohio NFL team failed more yesterday?

The Bengals, who fumbled a kickoff to give the game to the Raiders?
The Browns, who committed pass interference on a Hailmary to give the game to the Lions?

I'd say the Bengals, simply because of the height from which they fell. I'd say it is worse for a 7-2 team that is contending for a bye in the first round of the playoffs to make a mistake and fall to a 2-7 team, then it is for a 1-8 team to make a critical mistake against another 1-8 team. The Lions/Browns game had zero implications for playoffs or anything, but it was still pretty much epic fail.
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Offline Red Dragon Thorn

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #187 on: November 23, 2009, 12:19:32 PM »
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Browns - Mangini had a chance at minor redemption, then messed it up...
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Offline Professoralstad

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #188 on: November 23, 2009, 12:36:38 PM »
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I don't know if beating the Lions could qualify as redemption, minor or otherwise.
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Offline CMO Falcon

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #189 on: November 23, 2009, 01:54:43 PM »
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They scored points, that is cause for celebration.

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #190 on: November 23, 2009, 05:37:16 PM »
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The Browns scored 24 points and led by three touchdowns after the first quarter.  They did not score another touchdown until, what, six minutes left in the game?

Browns fail super-hard for letting THAT lead slide away against THAT team, and showing zero ability to adjust either on offense or defense, whereas the otherwise hapless Lions did both.

Offline lightningninja

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #191 on: November 24, 2009, 01:17:45 AM »
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Part of making the right call is to know that you cannot control every factor involved in a given play at a given time in a given game on any given Sunday. That's why you don't call a QB sneak when you have more than a yard to go. That's why you punt on 4th and 2 from your own 28 when you're winning by 6 with two minutes left and your opponent only has one timeout.
I agree partly... but you don't make calls based on the fact that it could go wrong. You make a call based on if it will PROBABLY work. And it should have. Poor execution.
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Offline YourMathTeacher

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #192 on: November 24, 2009, 01:32:48 AM »
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I agree partly... but you don't make calls based on the fact that it could go wrong. You make a call based on if it will PROBABLY work. And it should have. Poor execution.

I disagree completely.  ;)

"Probably" is not good enough in that situation.
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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #193 on: November 24, 2009, 10:26:25 AM »
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I agree partly... but you don't make calls based on the fact that it could go wrong. You make a call based on if it will PROBABLY work. And it should have. Poor execution.

I disagree completely.  ;)

"Probably" is not good enough in that situation.
then every play is a probably. there's just no way you can get around execution. everybody makes mistakes.

Offline YourMathTeacher

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #194 on: November 24, 2009, 11:22:23 AM »
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then every play is a probably. there's just no way you can get around execution. everybody makes mistakes.

Which only proves my point that Bill's call in that situation was the wrong call. "Probably" is good enough after you pass midfield, and in many other situations. "Probably" was not good enough on 4th and 2 from your own 28 when you are winning by 6 with only two minutes left and your opponent only has one timeout.

It seems that neither of you are willing to accept that the situation matters in these kind of decisions. I will never agree with your philosophy, so you may as well let it go.
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Offline STAMP

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #195 on: November 24, 2009, 11:31:49 AM »
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then every play is a probably. there's just no way you can get around execution. everybody makes mistakes.

Which only proves my point that Bill's call in that situation was the wrong call. "Probably" is good enough after you pass midfield, and in many other situations. "Probably" was not good enough on 4th and 2 from your own 28 when you are winning by 6 with only two minutes left and your opponent only has one timeout.

It seems that neither of you are willing to accept that the situation matters in these kind of decisions. I will never agree with your philosophy, so you may as well let it go.

We're not discussing philosophy.  We're discussing statistics.  Cold, emotionless, objective numbers.   ;)
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Offline YourMathTeacher

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #196 on: November 24, 2009, 05:39:25 PM »
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Well if you are trying to go the "numbers don't lie" route, then first take a look at the government's accounting records, then visit a man named Madoff.
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Offline Professoralstad

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #197 on: November 25, 2009, 03:41:18 PM »
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So the Onion had a great quote today that sums up the incident pretty well:

"Poll: 3.1% of NFL coaches would go for it on 4th and 2 on their own 28."

The accompanying article was actually rather humorous.
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Offline STAMP

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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #198 on: November 25, 2009, 04:38:51 PM »
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So the Onion had a great quote today that sums up the incident pretty well:

"Poll: 3.1% of NFL coaches would go for it on 4th and 2 on their own 28."

The accompanying article was actually rather humorous.


You know, that's pretty amazing if not coincidental.  3.1% of NFL coaches would also go for it on 4th and 26 against the Packers in a playoff game.   ;)
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Re: NFL Power Rankings and 1st quarter NFL discussion topics
« Reply #199 on: November 30, 2009, 11:45:58 AM »
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Lovie Smith,

It's 4th and inches.  You are down by 17 points.  Your best chance of winning is scoring points AND keeping the ball out of Favre's hands.  Your team is 4-6.  Your season is basically over if you lose.  GO FOR IT!!!

                                        Sincerely,
                                        Someone with common sense


Flippin' idiot sends out the punting team.  My Viking fan buddy and I high five, agree the game is over, and head to the kitchen to make a turkey sandwich.

We also enjoyed seeing the Manning face for a half.   ;)
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