Author Topic: Balance (in the BCS)  (Read 11825 times)

Offline YourMathTeacher

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #50 on: November 28, 2010, 12:24:06 AM »
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That is the type of generalization that I am talking about. There is no way of knowing whether Penn State can beat Pitt because they do not play each other. There are only the biased assumptions. In fact, the last time they played each other was back in 2000, when Pitt shut out Penn State 12-0.

If we are talking over recent years, I would take a Pitt team with Larry Fitzgerald over any Penn State team.
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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #51 on: November 28, 2010, 09:42:59 AM »
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For the record, the Big East is 12-4 in bowl games over the last three years, while the Big Ten is 6-16.

So you're going to rate a Rutgers win over UCF in the Beef O Brady Bowl over a Northwestern loss to Auburn in overtime in the Outback Bowl.  But the Big Ten is an arrogant conference.  That's interesting.

The Big Ten was given two opportunities last year to prove they belonged in BCS games, and they came out on top in both cases.  How did the Sugar Bowl go?

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #52 on: November 28, 2010, 10:06:21 AM »
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That is the type of generalization that I am talking about. There is no way of knowing whether Penn State can beat Pitt because they do not play each other. There are only the biased assumptions. In fact, the last time they played each other was back in 2000, when Pitt shut out Penn State 12-0.

If we are talking over recent years, I would take a Pitt team with Larry Fitzgerald over any Penn State team.

The only reason those teams went anywhere was because Fitz was that good. The early-mid 2000 Pitt teams were utterly terrible, and on top of that, were poorly coached. Penn St consistantly fielded better teams. Anthony Murelli was no Kerry Collins, but he could easily pick apart the terrible defensive schemes Walt Harris used to run. Wannstedt has improved slightly; he just can't win a big game to save his life.

Offline YourMathTeacher

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #53 on: November 28, 2010, 10:21:42 AM »
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So you're going to rate a Rutgers win over UCF in the Beef O Brady Bowl over a Northwestern loss to Auburn in overtime in the Outback Bowl.  But the Big Ten is an arrogant conference.  That's interesting.

The Big Ten was given two opportunities last year to prove they belonged in BCS games, and they came out on top in both cases.  How did the Sugar Bowl go?

LOL. Have I really been arrogant about the Big East? Defending their honor is not nearly the same as the degradation coming from you guys. You still have to look at the bigger picture. Picking on the Beef o' Brady Bowl as your counter example is silly since even you have admitted Big Ten has bad teams too. The argument has been that the Big East does not deserve an automatic bid, even though their bowl record over the past few years has been rather good.

There is a reason that the big conferences have an automatic bid. Teams within their division wreak havoc on even the favorites. If a team is 8-4 overall, but all 4 of their losses come from within their conference, they may be misjudged as a less than stellar team. Knowing how good they would be against a team that they do not play every year is speculation until they actually play. Big East teams play every team in their division every year. Those rivalries will always lead to upsets. There have been plenty of times over the last five years that Big East teams were ranked in the top ten, but lost in the final weeks to division rivals. Those teams still fared quite well in the bowls they were allowed to play in. But, what bowl they end up in is based on an archaic selection process. The Big Ten is still viewed favorably by the media, so they get better bowls. You can't seriously blame the Big East teams for who they get paired up against. That is completely out of their control. If anything, it is a letdown.

In all fairness, I was talking to Daniel, and only used the Big Ten as an example because I did not know exactly where Daniel's loyalties are. He has a Miami Hurricanes logo, but I figured an ACC reference would only be shot down since you view the ACC/Big 12/ Big East in the same light - unworthy.

You already mentioned your disgust for the BCS, but I do not think you realize how skewed against the Big East it really is. If anything, Big Ten fans think it favors the Big East with an automatic bid. But in reality, without the bid, a 10-2 Big East champion could end up playing an also-ran team in a nothing bowl thanks to freebies given to Notre Dame and media scrutiny. However, a 10-2 Big Ten team (even if not a conference champion) is guaranteed a January 1st or later bowl with lucrative payoffs. The Big East has been fighting an uphill battle ever since the exodus of top teams to the ACC. They know their bid is on the line, since that was the threat right after the exodus. However, the condition was that the BCS would be watching the Big East teams' performance in the bowls to decide if they get to keep the bid. So far, the teams have done well in bowls and have kept their bid.

For other conference fans to demand that the bid be taken away anyway is self-serving arrogance. If you really want to prove that the Big Ten is better than the Big East, then schedule games between the conferences. Schedule bowl games between the conferences. Can you do that? No. That decision is based on money and made by a handful of people that we can't remotely persuade. Can Rutgers change the fact that the Beef o'Brady Bowl had the right to select them, and that their opponent would be from C-USA? No. That decision is based on the same factors.

Until a playoff system is instituted, and head-to-head matchups are scheduled, there is no possible way (outside of arrogance) to conclude that Wisconsin would beat West Virginia. The game will not happen, so there is no need to speculate and insult all Big East schools and their fans. That, by the way, is all that you guys have been doing.
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Offline Daniel TS RED

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #54 on: November 28, 2010, 11:37:24 AM »
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I can't do a whole lot of trash talking as far as my team goes. The "U" isn't the old "U", not even close. As far as conferences go though, I'd take the top six anyday over mid major conferences. If I had to rank them:

sec
big10
big12
pac10
acc
big east

The mid-majors don't deserve to be in any top conferences list ever, uppercut!
« Last Edit: November 28, 2010, 12:54:09 PM by Daniel TS RED »
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Offline YourMathTeacher

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #55 on: November 28, 2010, 11:56:06 AM »
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The mid-majors don't deserve to be in any top conferences list ever, uppercut!

Additionally, insulting all the other conferences and their fans continues to be arrogant and unChristlike.

The fact that mid-major teams have found success against major conferences seems to indicate that they deserve more opportunities. There are only a handful of top teams that even schedule the heavy hitters in the mid-majors. Part of that reason is fear. Since scholarship totals are down, smaller schools are fielding better teams with NFL talent. That is why FCS Appalachian State can beat FBS Michigan, albeit on a down year. That is why FCS New Hampshire can schedule an FBS school and beat them five years running. You can't say that they only won because the teams they beat were the in the lower half of the conference. That was the only school who would schedule them. They take what they can get. I actually applaud Michigan for being willing to schedule an FCS powerhouse, rather than an FCS lower half school. However, most of the top half FBS teams only schedule the bottom half FCS schools. They know the potential of scheduling the top FCS schools, and the hit they would take in the BCS if they lost. Fortunately for FBS Virginia Tech, they will still make a BCS bowl even though they lost to FCS James Madison University.

Every team deserves their chance, if they prove themselves. Enough mid-majors have proven themselves over the years, and some of those teams are now in major conferences. In the words of the fans in the Astrodome overlooking the Bad News Bears:

"Let them play."
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Offline Daniel TS RED

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #56 on: November 28, 2010, 12:06:58 PM »
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Quote
Additionally, insulting all the other conferences and their fans continues to be arrogant and unChristlike.
Telling my opinion about college football conferences is unChristlike? I disagree.

Quote
Every team deserves their chance, if they prove themselves. Enough mid-majors have proven themselves over the years, and some of those teams are now in major conferences. In the words of the fans in the Astrodome overlooking the Bad News Bears:

"Let them play."

Could you give me some examples of these mid-majors in major conferences?
Also, I'd say let the FCS schools join a real conference, aka one of the top6, and go 2-10 and then they don't have to worry about it. There is a considerable difference in talent between FBS and FCS.
« Last Edit: November 28, 2010, 12:23:49 PM by Daniel TS RED »
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Offline YourMathTeacher

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #57 on: November 28, 2010, 12:59:29 PM »
+2
Telling my opinion about college football conferences is unChristlike? I disagree.

Ah yes. It is OK to be rude and arrogant as a Christian, as long as you are talking about sports. That's not what the Bible teaches. Clearly you are part of some cult.

Could you give me some examples of these mid-majors in major conferences?

Louisville and South Florida for starters, but there will be more next year.

Also, I'd say let the FCS schools join a real conference, aka one of the top6, and go 2-10 and then they don't have to worry about it. There is a considerable difference in talent between FBS and FCS.

Then clearly New Hampshire has the best athletes in the country.  ;)
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Offline Daniel TS RED

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #58 on: November 28, 2010, 01:14:41 PM »
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I don't think I was rude and arrogant. Could you point me to my posts that sounded that way to you? The post with uppercut! was a joke if that one is the one you were going to use. Also, there is nothing wrong with evaluating talent. If a team is better than another team, there's nothing wrong with stating that fact. I never said my canes were the best, or that the ACC was the best. I said that the SEC was the best conference and the Big East was the worst, I don't see that as rude or arrogant.

I could see South Florida winning the Big East within the next couple of years. They're becoming a pretty solid program. I do believe though that they have the advantage of being in the Big East. It seems you believe the Big East is just as good as the other top conferences, but I believe they're probably the worst of the top6. That gives USF a chance to win it and get a BCS game.

« Last Edit: November 28, 2010, 01:28:43 PM by Daniel TS RED »
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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #59 on: November 28, 2010, 01:39:37 PM »
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LOL. Have I really been arrogant about the Big East? Defending their honor is not nearly the same as the degradation coming from you guys.

All I have done is state the facts of the matter, so I don't know what is this "degradation" you speak of.

Quote
Picking on the Beef o' Brady Bowl as your counter example is silly since even you have admitted Big Ten has bad teams too. The argument has been that the Big East does not deserve an automatic bid, even though their bowl record over the past few years has been rather good.

It's not silly because you counted all wins and losses equal regardless of who the teams are or who they have played.  And by the way, that was never my argument, (only) Alex was arguing for greater mid-major inclusion.

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There have been plenty of times over the last five years that Big East teams were ranked in the top ten, but lost in the final weeks to division rivals.

You're not quoting anything that doesn't happen to every other conference in football.  The SEC is particularly brutal.  But there are plenty of uber one-loss Ohio State teams over the years (1996 being the most glaring example) that lost their shot at the title due to that one loss.  The best way not to drop out of the top ten after losing to a division rival, is to beat your division rival.

Quote
Those teams still fared quite well in the bowls they were allowed to play in. But, what bowl they end up in is based on an archaic selection process. The Big Ten is still viewed favorably by the media, so they get better bowls.

No, conference teams go to bowls based on contracts that they have with those bowls.  A perfect example of this is the WAC; their two big bowl contracts are the Humanitarian Bowl and the Fight Hunger Bowl.  But while it looks like Hawaii is going to be the champion of that conference, they won't play in either of those games because they are automatically invited to the Hawaii Bowl every year they are bowl eligible.

Quote
In all fairness, I was talking to Daniel, and only used the Big Ten as an example because I did not know exactly where Daniel's loyalties are. He has a Miami Hurricanes logo, but I figured an ACC reference would only be shot down since you view the ACC/Big 12/ Big East in the same light - unworthy.

I don't think the ACC is as good as the Big Ten, from top to bottom, but I think "unworthy" is really an appropriate title to apply here.  After all, the ACC improved significantly in recent years when they acquired the three best teams the Big East had at the time - Miami, BC and Va Tech - which by the way is the main reason the Big East isn't as good as it used to be.

You should also note (again) that most of my comments about the declining quality of the Big 12 is that they are losing two schools to other [major] conferences and by all accounts were a hairsbreadth from being decimated to a six-team conference.  If these conferences were losing Baylor and Kansas and Villanova and Providence it wouldn't be that impactful.  But losing Nebraska or Va Tech is not nearly as easy to absorb.  When those teams leave, your conference quality goes down; It's just a fact.  If Ohio State or Wisconsin or Penn State left the Big Ten, guess what, they wouldn't be as good without them.

Quote
However, a 10-2 Big Ten team (even if not a conference champion) is guaranteed a January 1st or later bowl with lucrative payoffs.

Again I note the nature of existing contracts in bowl games.  Plus, I thought you said teams shouldn't suffer for losing tough rival games.

Quote
For other conference fans to demand that the bid be taken away anyway is self-serving arrogance.

I'm not sure if anyone else in this thread demanded the Big East lose their bid in the BCS but I'm pretty sure you won't find anything remotely like that in my posts.  The only change I have recommended, apart from the abolition of the entire system for a playoff, is that Oklahoma and Notre Dame be banned from any further invites because they're lame and lose all the time.

Quote
Until a playoff system is instituted, and head-to-head matchups are scheduled, there is no possible way (outside of arrogance) to conclude that Wisconsin would beat West Virginia.

Well, one way to conclude that might be that Wisconsin has a better record and beat two ranked teams to win their conference, while West Virginia lost their only matchup against a ranked team, and their game against the team likely to grab the Big East bid to the BCS.  Facts are not arrogant but can still lead to a reasonable conclusion strikingly similar to the one you consider unreasonable.
« Last Edit: November 28, 2010, 01:46:13 PM by The Schaef »

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #60 on: November 29, 2010, 12:13:31 AM »
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I've got nothing against the Big East, but from purely a record standpoint it seems odd to me that one of these teams will get an automatic BCS bid:
UConn (7-4)
Pitt (6-5)
WVU (8-3, ranked 24th)

Meanwhile, 11-1 Michigan St. and 11-1 Nevada will likely have to settle for a second-tier bowls.
 :dunno:
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Offline Daniel TS RED

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #61 on: November 29, 2010, 01:04:36 PM »
-1
TCU is heading to the Big East for the 2012-2013 season. If I was Boise State and Utah, I'd be heading to the Big 12, or they are going to get left out.
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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #62 on: November 29, 2010, 01:06:19 PM »
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I've got nothing against the Big East, but from purely a record standpoint it seems odd to me that one of these teams will get an automatic BCS bid:
UConn (7-4)
Pitt (6-5)
WVU (8-3, ranked 24th)

Meanwhile, 11-1 Michigan St. and 11-1 Nevada will likely have to settle for a second-tier bowls.
 :dunno:


An 8-3 West Virginia is FAR better than an 11-1 Nevada, so we can throw that team out of the discussion.  :P
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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #63 on: November 29, 2010, 03:23:09 PM »
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An 8-3 West Virginia is FAR better than an 11-1 Nevada, so we can throw that team out of the discussion. 

Looking at WVU's schedule, they don't really have any impressive victories. They lost their only game against a ranked team (LSU). Meanwhile, Nevada beat Boise St, lost a close one to Hawaii, survived a scare against Fresno St. and crushed everyone else they played. If they pull out that game against Hawaii, they are for sure in the Top 10.

That being said, I'm not necessarily arguing they are better than WVU, but I don't think we should throw them out of the discussion so easily.
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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #64 on: November 29, 2010, 06:09:58 PM »
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An 8-3 West Virginia is FAR better than an 11-1 Nevada, so we can throw that team out of the discussion. 

Looking at WVU's schedule, they don't really have any impressive victories. They lost their only game against a ranked team (LSU). Meanwhile, Nevada beat Boise St, lost a close one to Hawaii, survived a scare against Fresno St. and crushed everyone else they played. If they pull out that game against Hawaii, they are for sure in the Top 10.

That being said, I'm not necessarily arguing they are better than WVU, but I don't think we should throw them out of the discussion so easily.

Me and the guy below disagree.  WVU had to face a juggernaut of Big East teams whereas Nevada played several Little Sisters of the Poor.  ::)

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #65 on: November 29, 2010, 08:04:35 PM »
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Well, I was speaking generally. I cannot deny that this year, the Big East is a mess. But one bad year should not lead to the removal of an automatic bid. That was not the agreement that the conference made with the BCS.

Schaef and Daniel, I apologize for saying that you guys were being rude. I was juggling discussions between here and another message board that was more sports oriented, and I got confused about who said what. You guys were fine.

Guardian, I agree that those teams are more deserving this year. As a UConn fan, I am excited about the possiblity of a BCS bowl. All we have to do is beat South Florida (which I have to keep quiet because the campus is only an hour away from my house). Admittedly, we are no powerhouse team. We'll be 8-4, which will be the worst record in the BCS bowls. However, we do have the #2 RB in the country, Jordan Todman, who is averaging 145 yards a game and has had several 200 yard rushing games in his career. We have our senior QB back as a starter, after being benched at the beginning of the year for a young stud QB who went and got himself suspended. Interestingly, the senior was our starter for the last two years, and has stepped up for the big wins against Pitt and West Virginia that has fueled our winning streak. Unfortunately, we have to play South FL on the road. We are currently 7-4, but we are 6-0 at home.  :-\

Still, if we pull it off, going to a BCS bowl when we have only been in Big East football for five years would be an early Christmas present.  ;D
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Offline Daniel TS RED

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #66 on: November 29, 2010, 08:18:14 PM »
-1
TCU is heading to the Big East for the 2012-2013 season. If I was Boise State and Utah, I'd be heading to the Big 12, or they are going to get left out.

I forgot about Utah going to be part of the Pac12, Boise State needs to make a move now. There is now no reason to join the MWC, they should join the Big East too. Also, if Notre Dame continues to be decline, I wonder if NBC will pull their TV contract offer if ratings get low, if they do, they'll need to join a top conference too.

The 6 power conferences should have 12 teams each and all have a conference championship.
« Last Edit: November 29, 2010, 08:24:33 PM by Daniel TS RED »
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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #67 on: November 29, 2010, 08:22:16 PM »
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Notre Dame plays all their other sports in the Big East. The big money football TV contract is (I believe) the only reason they did not also join for football, but I do not know that for sure.
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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #68 on: November 29, 2010, 10:02:56 PM »
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Now I DO think that adding Notre Dame to the Big East will be a nice feather in their cap.  They can't be down forever, and as they return to prominence and the new adds start pulling recruits like they're actually IN a major conference, the conference as a whole should return to something resembling prominence.

Meantime, their all-to-themselves TV contract and what seemed like an automatic BCS bowl bid for a while were not at all commensurate with their talent.  These are NOT the Golden Domers of yore.  So coming down a peg would be good for everybody, themselves included.

Brief aside, I think another reason the Domers have stayed independent in football is so they can keep playing what amounts to a rivalry game every week: Michigan one week, a service academy the next week, USC the week after, etc.

I'm not sure what the answer is for the Big 12.

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #69 on: November 29, 2010, 10:19:54 PM »
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I'm not sure what the answer is for the Big 12.

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #70 on: November 29, 2010, 11:29:03 PM »
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As a UConn fan, I am excited about the possiblity of a BCS bowl.

Better make it count this year...TCU is coming to play in a couple years.  :)
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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #71 on: November 30, 2010, 09:38:39 AM »
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Ridiculous. Absolutely Ridiculous.

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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #72 on: November 30, 2010, 10:30:37 AM »
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If the 6 power conferences had 12 teams each and all 6 had a championship game. The determined top 2 could get byes the first week and the other 4 would square off in a playoff. Those winners play the 2 teams with byes and those winners play for the national championship. All other bowls could be kept for the other teams and these five games would be the regular BCS games.
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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #73 on: December 01, 2010, 09:27:01 AM »
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The Big 12 does has a championship. The only good teams in the North are Mizzou and Nebraska (who are both inconsistent), while the South continuously provides great games and interesting debate. 2008-2009 comes to mind, with Oklahoma and Texas being tied for first in the South, and although I do agree that BCS rankings are stupid and Texas probably should ahve gone to the title game, I doubt that even they could have beaten Florida (not to mention the bull-crapping refs robbing Gresham of a goal-line TD catch right before the half and a controversial "pass interference" call midway through the 3rd quarter that ended up being the clinching TD for Florida). However, Texas proved themselves not worthy of the BCS title bid the year before which they oh so loudly complained about when they were soundly beaten by Alabama.

My ranking of the divisions in collegiate football are as follows:

SEC/Big 12
All the other conferences who produce one or maybe two top-tier teams.
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Re: Balance (in the BCS)
« Reply #74 on: December 01, 2010, 09:49:45 AM »
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I think his point was that all the conferences should have a championship game in the way that the Big 12 does, or the SEC.  The Big Ten, for example, does not have a title game because traditionally they have had fewer than 12 teams.  The addition of Nebraska next year mandates a title game for them, so we'll start seeing those right away.  Unless the Big 12 adds enough teams to actually be 12 again, they won't be required to have a title game starting next year; we'll see whether they keep it or not.

And my point about the Big Ten was that they have three top-ten teams this year and they're adding Nebraska next year, which can only improve their status.  The Big 12 is losing two teams and very nearly lost a lot more.  That basically leaves them with Oklahoma and Texas, relegating them to the "one or two top-tier team" status currently enjoyed by the Pac 10 and the Big East.  So some of this analysis not based only on the present or even the past, but also the very near future for these conferences.  The landscape will be changing a lot in the next one to two years, including at least four major conferences and several mid-majors that have made names for themselves in the last five years or so.
« Last Edit: December 01, 2010, 09:54:07 AM by The Schaef »

 


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